Daily Shaarli

All links of one day in a single page.

September 1, 2026

[2508.03474] Unravelling the Probabilistic Forest: Arbitrage in Prediction Markets

Polymarket exhibits cases where dependent assets are mispriced, allowing for purchasing (or selling) a certain outcome for less than (or more than) $1, guaranteeing profit. This phenomenon, known as arbitrage, could enable sophisticated participants to exploit such inconsistencies.